Who is this year’s Charles Melton? (If there is one)

Universally loved performance (by anyone who actually watched) in a critically acclaimed movie that smashes with regionals (in both wins and nominations) and everyone presumes them a frontrunner for the nomination. They get both Golden Globe and Critics Choice but to everyone's shock, they miss the BAFTA (longlist) as well as SAG, so by the time the actual nominations arrive, while there are plenty of people who pray the performance pulls through (a la Kristen Stewart in Spencer) ultimately nobody is truly shocked by the unfortunate snub. Essentially someone who starts off super strong but crashes and burns in the hardest way possible when it matters the most.