2024 election result using the next electoral college map (projected changes from next census) - Trump 322, Harris 216

Excerpt:

Since 2016, the “blue wall” states of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin have been key to Democrats’ winning map and have made or broken the party’s chances. But even winning those wouldn’t be enough for a Democratic candidate to win with all other states voting as they did in November.

“It’s yet another flashing red sign for Democrats,” said Democratic strategist Jon Reinish. “I think that Democrats could very easily now see what is their Electoral College count base, such as it is, shrink.”

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/5080313-census-projections-electoral-college/?tbref=hp