The Fourth Turning - Revolt is Near

For those that haven't read, The Fourth Turning by Strauss & Howe, they examine repeating cycles of societal upheaval and rebirth in American history.

What we are witnessing in America is not new.

The crisis that S&H allude to when the book was written in 1998 is most likely The Great Financial Crisis of 2008. As a response, trillions of dollars of quantitative easing have been injected into markets. At the same time, tax policy has accelerated those trillions into wealth inequality that has favored a few billionaires.

Wealth inequality, unaffordable housing and healthcare as well as loss of faith in institutions are setting the stage for the climax of the Fourth Turning.

What are the Four Turnings:

First Turning (High): A period of collective rebuilding and institutional strength after a major crisis.

Second Turning (Awakening): A time of spiritual renewal and individualism, often marked by cultural upheaval.

Third Turning (Unraveling): A period of weakening institutions, rising cynicism, and growing individualism.

Fourth Turning (Crisis): A defining era of upheaval, when institutions are torn down and rebuilt, and a new social order emerges.

Based on the timeline, it's fair to estimate the revolt will happen between 2028-2035.

Now, this isn't meant to be a doom post, in fact, quite the opposite. This means that we are not far off from a new First Turning where society rebuilds something better and more equitable for the greater good. That could happen soon after in the late 30's/early 40's.

We could see renewed societal and institutional trust. An emphasis on stability and progress. New leaders and values emerging.

I know not everyone is a fan of the book and I know one member of 47's team has tried to co-opt the lessons of the book for his own nefarious purposes, but he's a moron and missed the point that no one can control the outcome.

The stage is set, all we are awaiting for the revolution is the catalyst that sets the next cycle in motion.