In China Her Story continues to dominate with $3.27M/$30.95M on Wednesday. Setting itself up for a $15-16M 2nd weekend which would be down just -10% from its opening last week. Moana 2 hits $180k in pre-sales for Friday vs Inside Out 2($282k). Projected a $1.5-1.6M opening day. $7-9M weekend.
Daily Box Office(November 27th 2024)
The market hits ¥39.4M/$5.4M which is down -3% from yesterday and up +46% versus last week.
Her Story continues to perform really well. Passes $30M. Moana 2 will pose no threat at the top as Her Story is looking to will dominate the upcoming weekend aiming for a strong $15-16M 2nd weekend.
Wicked pre-sales have started yesterday mid day. It currently has $165 in presales for its opening day on December 6th across 1889 screenings. Or put into tickets. 32 tickets sold so far.
Province map of the day:
Her Story remains in full control with a 5th cleen sweep.
In Metropolitan cities:
Her Story wins Beijing, Shanghai, Chongqing, Wuhan, Shenzhen, Nanjing, Chengdu, Suzhou, Guangzhou and Hangzhou
City tiers:
Unchanged from yesterday.
Tier 1: Her Story>To Gather Around>Gladiator 2
Tier 2: Her Story>To Gather Around>Crayon Shin-chan 2024
Tier 3: Her Story>To Gather Around>Crayon Shin-chan 2024
Tier 4: Her Story>To Gather Around>Crayon Shin-chan 2024
| # | Movie | Gross | %YD | %LW | Screenings | Admisions(Today) | Total Gross | Projected Total Gross |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Her Story | $3.27M | -3% | 97564 | 0.57M | $30.95M | $80M-$81M | |
| 2 | To Gather Around | $0.57M | -5% | -51% | 49187 | 0.11M | $23.21M | $34M-$36M |
| 3 | Crayon Shin-chan 2024 | $0.38M | -15% | 48492 | 0.07M | $10.03M | $15M-$17M | |
| 4 | Gladiator 2 | $0.27M | -10% | 25824 | 0.05M | $4.01M | $6M-$7M | |
| 5 | Yuanyang Lou | $0.16M | -6% | -45% | 21715 | 0.03M | $14.33M | $16M-$17M |
| 6 | MAHARAJA(Pre-Scr) | $0.13M | +20% | 9685 | 0.03M | $0.49M | ||
| 7 | Venom: The Last Dance | $0.12M | -7% | -67% | 18048 | 0.02M | $93.67M | $94M-$95M |
| 8 | Cesium Fallout | $0.11M | +10% | -73% | 13149 | 0.02M | $35.32M | $36M-$38M |
| 9 | Harry Potter 7 | $0.10M | -9% | 9949 | 0.02M | $2.46M($19.15M) | $2M-$4M |
*YD=Yesterday, LW=Last Week,
Pre-Sales map for tomorrow
Her Story continues to dominate the pre-sales map.
https://i.imgur.com/dfP4635.png
Venom: The Last Dance
Venom continues to slowly creep towards $94M. It will cross it on Saturday.
WoM figures: Maoyan: 8.8 , Taopiaopiao: 8.6 , Douban:6.5
| # | WED | THU | FRI | SAT | SUN | MON | TUE | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fifth Week | $0.37M | $0.34M | $0.30M | $0.63M | $0.54M | $0.15M | $0.13M | $93.55M |
| Fifth Week | $0.12M | / | / | / | / | / | / | $93.67M |
| %± LW | -67% | / | / | / | / | / | / | / |
Scheduled showings update for Venom 3 for the next few days:
| Day | Number of Showings | Presales | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 18178 | 8k | $0.11M-$0.12M |
| Thursday | 18222 | 2k | $0.10M-$0.11M |
| Friday | 5142 | 1k | $0.13M-$0.14M |
Other stuff:
The next Holywood movie to release Moana 2 on November 29th.
Then in December Wicked will release on the 6th followed by The Lord of the Rings: The War of the Rohirrim and Kraven the Hunter on the 14th and Mufasa on December 20th.
Sonic 3 meanwhile will likely not release on the 20th as in the US but perhaps a week later or potentialy in early January.
Moana 2
Very lack luster penultimate day of pre-sales for Moana. Keeps falling away from Inside Out 2. Projected just a $1.5-1.6M opening day. $7-9M weekend.
Note on Moana 1. Pre-sales data for it is sadly not available from Maoyan which means the numbers are taken from the BOT thread from back in 2016 courtesy of Olive. Due to the nature of when they were posted they do not exactly allign with the exact days but it should be close enough.
| Days till release | Moana 2 | Moana | Inside Out 2 | Wish | Despicable Me 4 | Kung Fu Panda 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | $8k/7512 | / | / | / | / | $5k/7147 |
| 11 | $10k/8448 | / | / | / | / | $8k/8201 |
| 10 | $12k/9955 | / | / | / | / | $16k/10175 |
| 9 | $15k/10890 | / | $1k/2554 | / | / | $22k/11815 |
| 8 | $18k/11869 | / | $5k/7023 | / | / | $25k/12281 |
| 7 | $23k/12813 | / | $13k/10139 | / | $11k/10992 | $26k/13080 |
| 6 | $37k/14639 | $39k | $25k/12948 | $1.2k/1276 | $42k/25432 | $30k/14235 |
| 5 | $54k/16477 | $55k | $42k/15205 | $9.3k/4165 | $93k/31857 | $34k/16102 |
| 4 | $74k/18809 | $75k | $65k/17987 | $19k/5516 | $168k/37449 | $48k/18997 |
| 3 | $97k/23329 | $100k | $104k/24579 | $37k/10608 | $277k/45317 | $84k/27108 |
| 2 | $128k/33286 | $155k | $167k/34281 | $67k/20149 | $438k/57555 | $132k/43076 |
| 1 | $180k/51459 | $240k | $282k/59326 | $114k/33490 | $679k/83657 | $230k/71509 |
| 0 | $489k | $678k/80153 | $227k/44234 | $1.59M/105128 | $579k/98338 | |
| Opening Day | $1.92M | $2.31M | $0.79M | $5.72M | $2.95M |
*Gross/Screenings
Release Schedule:
A table including upcoming movies in the next month alongside trailers linked in the name of the movie, Want To See data from both Maoyan and Taopiaopiao alongside the Gender split and genre.
Remember Want To See is not pre-sales. Its just an anticipation metric. A checkbox of sorts saying your interested in an upcoming movie.
Not all movies are included since a lot are just too small to be worth covering.
November:
| Movie | Maoyan WTS | Daily Increase | Taopiaopiao WTS | Daily Increase | M/W % | Genre | Release Date | 3rd party media projections |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moana 2 | 86k | +2k | 81k | +2k | 29/71 | Comedy/Animation | 29.11 | $20-28M |
December:
| Movie | Maoyan WTS | Daily Increase | Taopiaopiao WTS | Daily Increase | M/W % | Genre | Release Date | 3rd party media projections |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIE XIAOQIAN | 69k | +1k | 29k | +1k | 31/69 | Animation/Fantasy | 06.12 | $2-4M |
| More Than a Game | 68k | +1k | 21k | +1k | 29/71 | Documentary | 06.12 | |
| Wicked | 21k | +1k | 17k | +2k | 38/62 | Musical/Fantasy | 06.12 | $2-3M |
| Burning Star | 134k | +2k | 168k | +2k | 23/77 | Drama/Suspese | 07.12 | $5-10M |
| Kraven the Hunter | 6k | +1k | 6k | +1k | 69/31 | Comic Book | 14.12 | $4-5M |
| The Lord of the Rings: The War of the Rohirrim | 5k | +1k | 11k | +1k | 64/36 | Animation | 14.12 | $4-5M |
| Mufasa: The Lion King | 33k | +1k | 27k | +1k | 34/66 | Family/Animation | 20.12 | $15-40M |
| The Prosecutor | 32k | +2k | 11k | +1k | 61/39 | Action/Drama | 27.12 | $23-52M |
| Detective Conan: Crossroad in the Ancient Capital | 17k | +8k | 14k | +5k | 37/63 | Anime | 27.12 | |
| Honey Money Phony | 132k | +2k | 19k | +170 | 26/74 | Comedy/Romance | 31.12 | $62-74M |
| Octopus with Broken Arms | 55k | +4k | 124k | +2k | 47/53 | Drama/Crime | 31.12 |
January:
January for now remains baren. It will be an incredibly backloaded month with Spring Festival starting on the 29th. So far 3 movies have been officialy confirmed for it. Creation Of The Gods P2. A sequel to a very well received movie from last year that made $360M. With the prime date and coming off good reception i have little doubt P2 will increase from the 1st movie.
The Next Boonie Bears movie. China's prime animation franchise which has been a Spring Festival mainstay for a decade now with next year being the 11th consecutive year a Boonie Bears movie releases for Spring Festival. The franchise has seen a steady increase in box office with last years movie hitting a franchise peak $280M+
And as of this week The Legend of the Condor Heroes. A longtime anticipated Marshal arts movie.
The remainer of the slate is rumored to be another 2 strong candidates being a new Detective Chinatown movie called Detective Chinatown 1900 which has wraped filming this year. The Sequel or better said Prequel will try to wash away the incredibly bad reception of DC3. A movie which opened to a record breaking $399M across 3 days beating out End Game's US opening. But only grossed $680M+.
And Operation Leviathant. A followup to 2018's massive success Operation Red Sea which grossed $579M.
There's a small outside chance that Nezha 2 could also release. The follow up to Nezha from 2019 which to this day remains the biggest animation of all time in a single market with $730M+. Although this is more of a longshot and this movie will likely target the summer instead.
| Movie | Maoyan WTS | Daily Increase | Taopiaopiao WTS | Daily Increase | M/W % | Genre | Release Date | 3rd party media projections |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Legend of the Condor Heroes | 221k | +3k | 472k | +4k | 17/84 | Martial Arts | 29.01 | |
| Creation Of The Gods Part 2 | 138k | +2k | 632k | +6k | 29/71 | War/Fantasy | 29.01 | |
| Boonie Bears:Future Reborn | 65k | +1k | 34k | +1k | 29/71 | Animation/Comedy | 29.01 | |
| Operation Leviathan | 45k | +82 | 46k | +47 | 29/71 | Drama/Action | 29.01 - Rumored | |
| Detective Chinatown 1900 | 2k | +17 | 1k | +21 | 50/50 | Drama/Comedy | 29.01 - Rumored |
