My drama speculations

After watching YouTuber headlines’ video I think the “mean girl” is Josie and here’s why. South girls have mentioned the mean girl targeted one south girl in particular and said some really nasty things. HHH seemed pretty distraught over the drama and wasn’t at the content makeup day today. I suspect Josie targeted HHH and probably said something about her marriage/divorce and it hurt her so badly because of how fresh it is. Josie is the least known of all the north girls and I’m sure she’s feeling uppity about being in the better, more popular/well known Texas momtok. HHH and Josie became friends with Aaryn around the same time and I wouldn’t be surprised if they felt competition with each other during that time because of that and it came out this weekend.

Aaryn only started being friends with Josie again when she started to gain traction on insta/tiktok and it’s clear their “friendship” was only social media deep which is why it was easy for her to cut her off again and side with South. As for the other moms she has unfollowed like Tara and Liza they seem like drama chasers and grass is greener friends which would explain them siding with Josie if she is the mean girl.

Headlines mentioned that the mean girl had the Airbnb and part of my theory is that after this all went down Josie was worked up/embarrassed about what happened and being cut off by Aaryn that she left and went home that night. The other north girls stayed at a hotel instead and still went out as we saw on socials.

Headlines was also confused about whether Aaryn was present or not for the drama and possibly waiting for the girls at dinner already… she was there for the drama and saw everything go down but didn’t have part in it. She was waiting for the other girls at dinner when they were reenacting being kicked out on the curb for content later that night.

What pieces of the puzzle am I missing? I’m embarrassed at how much of thought about this